Its been fairly a painful week for Bitcoin [BTC] holders because the markets crashed, undoing its upside because the second half of July. Leveraged positions have significantly been within the receiving finish, as fairly a lot of lengthy positions have been liquidated.
Zooming out on Bitcoin’s worth chart reveals how Bitcoin’s worth motion trapped many merchants into executing lengthy positions. Its retracement on the finish of July was short-lived, creating an phantasm of a stronger worth flooring. This will likely have inspired leverage merchants to execute lengthy positions within the expectations of extra upside.
The lengthy liquidations metric on CryptoQuant registered a big improve within the variety of liquidations. The metric peaked at 980 lengthy liquidations as of 19 August. That is the most important variety of lengthy liquidations within the final 4 weeks.
The excessive variety of liquidations could have contributed extra promoting stress as of 18 August, along with regular promote offs. This may clarify why Bitcoin dropped by such an enormous margin. Its worth motion dropped by roughly 7.33% between 18 and 19 August. That is the largest single-day worth drop since mid-June.
Bitcoin’s promote stress was robust sufficient to push it out of its ascending vary. BTC has been buying and selling inside the identical help and resistance-bound vary for the final eight weeks. Regardless of the heavy draw back, Bitcoin isn’t but in oversold territory. Nonetheless, its On-balance Quantity (OBV) indicator dropped to its lowest stage since March 2019. It’s anticipated to pivot quickly.
Why Bitcoin’s present draw back is perhaps short-lived
The OBV isn’t the one motive why BTC’s outlook at present favors a bullish pivot. The Goal Bitcoin ETF Holdings made a notable contribution to BTC’s newest draw back. It shaved off 3,609 BTC between 11 and 19 August which is value greater than $77 million at present market worth. Nonetheless, its outflows notably tapered out since 15 August.
Diminished outflows from institutional traders such because the Goal Bitcoin ETF Holdings are affirmation that promote stress is slowing down. This final result is additional collaborated by the truth that whales are additionally shopping for the dip. The variety of Bitcoin addresses holding greater than 1,000 BTC elevated considerably since 17 August.